Missing Malaysia airliner: Questions and answers

4:09 PM, Mar 13, 2014   |    comments
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Photo Gallery: Malaysia Airlines loses contact with passenger jet
Map showing where Malaysia Airlines Flight 370's transponder stopped working. (CNN)

 


 


(CNN) -- Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 disappeared Saturday somewhere over Southeast Asia. Authorities don't know where the plane is or what happened to it. Here are 22 answers to some of the most frequently asked questions about this baffling disappearance:

Where the devil is this plane?

At this point, it's anyone's guess. The official search area covers 35,000 square miles now, including parts of the Gulf of Thailand, South China Sea, Strait of Malacca and the Andaman Sea. If there's anything to a Wall Street Journal report that the plane flew on another four hours after losing contact, it could be hundreds or even thousands of miles beyond that -- an area stretching from India all the way to Australia. If that's the case, only the luckiest of breaks would turn up the missing plane. "This is simply too big an area to even contemplate searching," CNN's Tom Foreman said Thursday.

Did it go off course?

Possibly, but not certainly. Some accounts have placed the aircrafthundreds of miles from its expected flight path to Beijing, and authorities have expanded the search area to include that possibility. But they're also still searching areas along the flight path. A big problem is that the plane's identifying transponder wasn't working, making radar determinations more difficult. International experts are reviewing Malaysian radar data in hopes of helping pin down where the plane may have gone.

What is a transponder?

It's a radio transmitter in the cockpit that works with ground radar. When it receives a radar signal, it returns a code with the aircraft's position, altitude and call sign. Air traffic controllers use the signals to determine a plane's speed and direction.

Why did it stop working?

That's one of many million-dollar questions. The transponder is situated between the pilots and can be disabled with a twist of the wrist, but former airline captain Mark Weiss said that because of the vital information -- and thus, protection -- the transponder provides, it's highly unlikely a pilot would turn it off. Without the cockpit voice recorder and flight data recorder, it's difficult to say who was in the cockpit and exactly what happened, Weiss said. Experts also give conflicting opinions: While one expert says the circumstances point to someone -- perhaps a hijacker -- deliberately turning the plane around, another says a catastrophic power failure could explain the anomalies.

What about the plane's "black box?"

Searchers would desperately love to get their hands on it. The device, known as a flight data recorder, would have details on what was going on in the cockpit before the plane disappeared and all sorts of technical data about what the plane was doing and how it was performing. The problem is that the devices don't broadcast their position over a large area, said science educator Bill Nye. So until searchers can narrow down their search for the plane, the data recorders won't help resolve the mystery.

Was anything else sending data on the plane?

According to aviation experts, Boeing 777-200 models like the missing aircraft can automatically send data in two ways. A system call ACARS, or Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System, can send bursts of information from text messages to engine data. And a newer positioning system called AVS-B can send automated positioning information, as well. Flight 370 was equipped with such a system, according to science writer Jeff Wise, who writes on aviation issues. According to Malaysian authorities, nothing on the plane was transmitting after 1:07 a.m. Saturday.

But didn't the Wall Street Journal say the plane had sent out engine data for hours?

Yes. Malaysian officials say there's nothing to that report, and a senior aviation source with extensive knowledge of the matter told CNN's Richard Quest that the newspaper's account was wrong. The source told Quest the plane was not sending engine data as the newspaper had reported.

Could the plane have landed someplace?

One theory U.S. officials are considering, according to that Wall Street Journal report, is that someone might have taken the plane to be used for some other purpose later. So it's theoretically possible that the plane could have landed at some remote air strip where it's being hidden. But there are some big holes in that theory. The 777 is a big plane. It requires, at minimum, nearly a mile to land. And, says Quest, there's the matter of getting it someplace without setting off alarm bells. "You can't just fly a Triple 7 and not have a radar trace," he said.

Couldn't a pilot just "fly under the radar"?

Again, theoretically. Being a tool to watch the sky, radar doesn't reach all the way to the ground. Military pilots are trained to take advantage of this when they need to sneak into a country undetected. But those aircraft also have terrain-evading radar and other features meant to help fighter and helicopter pilots hug the ground, noted aviation consultant Keith Wolzinger of the Spectrum Group. Understandably, Boeing doesn't offer that feature on its commercial airliners. "Airline pilots are not trained for radar avoidance," said Wolzinger, himself a former 777 pilot. "We like to be on radar." Also, unlike military craft, civilian airliners don't have gear to detect when they've been spotted on radar. So any effort to go undetected would be difficult and undoubtedly harrowing.

How does the search work?

Authorities break huge swaths of Earth into much smaller grids. Then, planes or ships scour the grids to eliminate them as candidates for the crash site. As of Thursday, 43 ships and 40 planes from a dozen countries were involved. The grids are massive and make up 35,000 square miles of land and sea, including the southern tip of Vietnam, South Thailand, about half of Malaysia and parts of the South China Sea, Gulf of Thailand and Strait of Malacca.


What about those Chinese satellite photos?

On Thursday, China released satellite images from a spot in the South China Sea that appeared to show large objects floating in the water Sunday, a day after the disappearance. Search crews checked the location and found no trace of wreckage. China later said releasing the photos was a mistake and the images weren't related to the plane.

Could 'crowdsourcing' help find the plane?

Ostensibly, sure. Colorado firm DigitalGlobe has one of the most advanced commercial satellite networks, and its images of the Strait of Malacca and Gulf of Thailand can capture details as small as a baseball field's home plate, the longest side of which is 17 inches. Volunteers can flag anything they find interesting, but so many answered the call this week that the firm's website crashed. (The website appeared to be up Wednesday.) Also, there's the troubling size of the search area.

Is this the first time a plane has vanished?

No, it's happened occasionally, and some have disappeared under mysterious circumstances. Perhaps none was as a tricky as Air France 447, which went down after departing Rio de Janeiro on June 1, 2009. It took four searches and almost two years before the bulk of the wreckage and majority of bodies were recovered. The voice and data recorders weren't found on the ocean floor until May 2011.

How does a plane disappear?

There's no simple answer here, especially when you consider the bevy of technology on a state-of-the-art jetliner, which includes UHF and VHF radios, automatic beacons, GPS and computer communications systems. It doesn't help that Flight 370's flight path is unclear and that the search areas include vast waters and sparsely populated jungles and mountains.

Were the pilots experienced?

The short answer is yes. Fariq Ab Hamid, 27, joined Malaysia Airlines in 2007 and was first officer on the flight. He has 2,763 flying hours and was transitioning to the Boeing 777-200 after finishing training in a flight simulator. The pilot, Capt. Zaharie Ahmad Shah, 53, has 18,365 flying hours. He joined the airline in 1981.

There are reports that Hamid let passengers in the cockpit on another flight? Is that legal?

Jonti Roos has told several media outlets that Hamid invited her and a friend into the cockpit for most of a 2011 flight from Thailand to Malaysia. While this would be a strict violation of U.S. regulations put in place after the 9/11 attacks, the legality would vary from country to country. Upon learning of Roos' claim, Malaysia Airlines said it was "shocked," while former U.S. Federal Aviation Administration chief of staff Michael Goldfarb said such behavior by a pilot "just violates every code of conduct."

Is foul play possible? Hijackers? Terrorism?

The CIA and FBI aren't ruling it out, but to be fair, authorities aren't ruling out much at this point. It's highly suspicious that the plane may have turned around. Those suspicions are further fueled by the loss of communication with the plane, considering the aircraft had "redundant electrical systems" that would have to be disabled. Robert Francis, former vice chairman of the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board, said his first thought upon hearing the circumstances of the flight's mysterious disappearance was that it blew up, but even then, an explosion would not be hard-and-fast evidence of terrorism.

What about those passengers with stolen passports?

Interpol says it has identified the men as Iranians Pouri Nourmohammadi, 18, and Delavar Seyed Mohammad Reza, 29, and Malaysian investigators say neither of them has any apparent connection to terrorist organizations. Stolen passports certainly aren't indicative of terrorism. In fact, Interpol says passengers flew without having their travel documents checked against its lost-and-stolen passport database more than a billion times in 2013. Among the reasons someone might use a stolen passport: to immigrate illegally to another country, to import goods without being taxed or to smuggle stolen goods, people, drugs or weapons.

What about pilot error?

Certainly possible. That's what the investigation showed happened with the 2009 Air France flight, though there was an element of mechanical failure as well. In that case, though, there was also inclement weather -- not the case with Flight 370. As of Wednesday, nothing suggests that pilot error played a role in the flight's disappearance.

So, could mechanical failure explain it?

It's one of the stronger possibilities. The absence so far of any debris field could suggest the pilot had to make an emergency landing on water and the plane later sank into the sea, but there is still the mystery of the distress signal. There's wasn't one. However, aviation consultant Kit Darby has said that it's possible there was a power problem, and the backup power lasted only an hour and the pilot attempted to turn back to "the airports and a region he knows." There's also the possibility of a tail or wing ripping off. This particular Boeing suffered a clipped wingtip in the past, but Boeing repaired it. Another frightening possibility is that a window or door failed, which would allow ambient temperatures of 60 degrees below zero into the cabin, creating a freezing fog and giving crew members only seconds to don oxygen masks before they were disoriented and then incapacitated.

Could it have been hit by a meteor?

There was a known meteor in the area at takeoff, but this seems to be atop a list of strange conspiracy theories popping up in the absence of empirical data explaining the plane's disappearance. Given what little is known about the flight path, it seems like a long, long shot that a meteor is to blame.

What about reports that passengers' cell phones continued operating after the flight's disappearance?

Please see the earlier question about meteors and conspiracy theories. When phones are disabled or turned off -- which would presumably happen after a plane crash -- calls to those cell phones don't ring, but go directly to voice mail. Friends and loved ones of the missing passengers, however, reported ringing when they called. Technology industry analyst Jeff Kagan says a call would first connect to a network before trying to find the end user, and the ringing sound callers hear masks the silence they would otherwise hear while waiting for the connection to be made. "If it doesn't find the phone after a few minutes, after a few rings, then typically, it disconnects, and that's what's happening," he said.

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