Forecast: Tropical rains while we watch the Gulf of Mexico

1:34 PM, Jun 21, 2012   |    comments
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The tropical wave to our south-southwest is drifting into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Thursday, keeping our weather pattern unsettled. 

We have seen a little sunshine for our inland locations and that has fired up a few showers and storms this afternoon.  Those downpours will become more numerous through the afternoon with rain chance near 60%.  After the sun goes down we will drop the rain chances back to 20-30% with mainly cloudy skies.

We are keeping a close eye on a tropical wave that is drifting into the southern Gulf of Mexico.  It is currently flaring up and some models indicate it could develop into a tropical system over the weekend. 

On Wednesday, the models suggested the system could develop into a weak tropical depression or storm as it moves northeast over Florida.  Today they are trending further west, with perhaps even a westerly job late this weekend into next week. 

Wind shear is rather high over the system now, hampering its organization. But that is forecast to decrease a little late Saturday into Sunday. 

It is just too early to tell at this point, but we will certainly be watching that area closely.  In the meantime, watch for heavy downpours from time to time throughout the weekend.

Today: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms.  Winds breezy E 10-20 mph with highs in the upper 80s. 

Meteorologist Bobby Deskins

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